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Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number by Period Dependent Branching Process
Mojtaba Moradi
Abstract:   (2247 Views)

The basic reproduction number is the average number of secondary infection cases generated by a single primary case in a susceptible population. Estimation of the basic reproduction number is important in medical studies. In this paper, we describe a new method for estimating the basic reproduction number by branching processes. Finally, we apply this estimator on real data reported by the National Center for Biotechnology Information in the USA.

Keywords: Branching Process, Basic Reproduction Number, Epidemiology
Full-Text [PDF 3074 kb]   (574 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Applied | Subject: Probability & Stochastic Processes
Received: 2015/01/8 | Accepted: 2016/12/31 | Published: 2017/02/27
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Moradi M. Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number by Period Dependent Branching Process. J. of Stat. Sci.. 2017; 11 (1)
URL: http://jss.irstat.ir/article-1-347-en.html
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مجله علوم آماری – نشریه علمی پژوهشی انجمن آمار ایران Journal of Statistical Sciences
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